Thespa Gunma vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TOC
0 - 0
THE
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
THE
1 - 2
ROA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JEF
2 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
THE
0 - 3
YOK
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
THE
0 - 1
EHI
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 0
FAG
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TOK
0 - 3
OIT
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 4
TOC
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 3
OIT
24%
29%
46%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
OIT
3 - 1
GIF
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |