Thespa Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
THE
1 - 1
KAT
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TOK
4 - 1
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VVA
1 - 0
THE
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 0
THE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 2
MAT
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 4
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
KYO
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ROA
0 - 3
MAT
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
MIT
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |