Thespa Gunma vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIT
2 - 2
THE
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
THE
1 - 1
YOK
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
THE
2 - 2
GIR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
THE
4 - 2
GIF
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 3
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
4 - 2
GAI
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 1
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 2
KAT
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
0 - 3
SAG
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
GIR
49%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |