Thespa Gunma vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 3
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 3
THE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
THE
0 - 1
TOC
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 1
THE
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
THE
2 - 4
CER
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 1
TOC
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHO
5 - 0
KAT
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
SAG
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 2
KAT
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 3
VEG
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |