Thespa Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
GIF
2 - 1
THE
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
THE
2 - 1
KAT
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
THE
1 - 3
OIT
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TOC
0 - 0
THE
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 0
GIR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 1
GIF
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OIT
0 - 0
GIR
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 1
TOC
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 0
GIR
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |