Thespa Gunma vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THE
1 - 0
VEG
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
YOK
1 - 0
THE
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
THE
0 - 3
JEF
25%
28%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
THE
1 - 1
VEN
18%
27%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
THE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YOK
1 - 0
FAG
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAG
3 - 2
REN
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 3
FAG
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 1
JEF
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
FAG
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |