Thespa Gunma vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
THE
0 - 1
MAC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
YOK
1 - 0
THE
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SHO
3 - 1
THE
8%
18%
75%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VVA
4 - 0
THE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FAG
3 - 3
THE
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FAG
2 - 1
KYO
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
FAG
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FAG
1 - 1
ROA
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAG
2 - 0
FAG
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
FAG
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |