Thespa Gunma vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EHI
1 - 0
THE
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
THE
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
THE
0 - 0
MIT
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 1
THE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
THE
1 - 0
TOK
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FAG
1 - 0
OIT
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 2
FAG
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 2
GIF
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 0
FAG
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 1
SAG
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +2 |