Thespa Gunma vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2009 |
SAG
4 - 2
THE
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
THE
0 - 3
VEG
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
TOK
1 - 3
THE
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
THE
0 - 2
TOK
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
EHI
1 - 3
THE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2009 |
CER
1 - 0
GIF
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 0
CER
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
CER
2 - 0
YOK
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
CER
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CON
4 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |