Thespa Gunma vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 3
THE
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
3 - 2
THE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
KAR
1 - 0
THE
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
THE
1 - 0
TOK
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CER
2 - 1
SHO
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VEN
2 - 3
CER
46%
24%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 0
CER
43%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CER
3 - 4
VEG
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
CER
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |