Thespa Gunma vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
TOK
2 - 3
THE
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
THE
0 - 0
VEN
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
AVI
1 - 1
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
THE
1 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 1
THE
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
CER
1 - 0
TOK
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
EHI
1 - 4
CER
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
YOK
1 - 1
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CER
1 - 0
ROA
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |