Thespa Gunma vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SHO
2 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NAG
3 - 1
THE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
THE
2 - 2
TOK
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
AVI
2 - 1
THE
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
THE
1 - 0
EHI
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CER
4 - 0
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
KAW
3 - 0
CER
77%
14%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TOK
0 - 2
CER
18%
23%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
CER
3 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VEG
2 - 1
CER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |