Thespa Gunma vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
THE
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
JUB
2 - 0
THE
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
THE
2 - 0
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 0
THE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KAM
1 - 1
AVI
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 5
VVA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GIF
1 - 2
AVI
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
YOK
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JUB
3 - 3
AVI
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |