Apertura Bolivia Semi-finals
Global 2-2
The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 0
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
STR
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
DGV
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DGV
0 - 2
STR
15%
23%
63%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
STR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
UDV
3 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
UDV
69%
18%
12%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UDV
2 - 1
REA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |