Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-4
The Strongest vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
3 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1990 |
EME
1 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
BSC
1 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1990 |
STR
2 - 1
BSC
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
3 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 0
SPC
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1990 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1990 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |