The Strongest vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
STR
2 - 1
OPE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2004 |
STR
2 - 1
OPE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
OPE
3 - 1
STR
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
RPO
3 - 2
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
BLO
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
5 - 0
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 3
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
ATL
96%
4%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 4
SAO
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |