Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
The Strongest vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
STR
3 - 0
IBE
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
STR
1 - 0
OPE
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
JWI
1 - 2
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CIP
1 - 6
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 3
GUA
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 1
SAO
36%
24%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
COR
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |