The Strongest vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
AME
4 - 0
STR
71%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
OPE
3 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
STR
1 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
STR
2 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |