The Strongest vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
STR
3 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
STR
5 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
STR
3 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
MWA
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SFE
0 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
SFE
11%
26%
63%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SFE
2 - 0
COR
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
SFE
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 0
HUI
59%
25%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |