The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
49
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
CMV
0 - 1
STR
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
BOL
47%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IND
1 - 4
STR
33%
27%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
UDV
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
3 - 1
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DRT
0 - 2
ROY
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
DRT
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DRT
1 - 0
SAC
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
DRT
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 1
BLO
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |