The Strongest vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UDV
2 - 1
STR
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
STR
4 - 4
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
REA
1 - 3
STR
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAC
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
DRT
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |