The Strongest vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 1
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
STR
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
STR
2 - 0
DRT
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
STR
24%
25%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
OPE
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
5 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |