The Strongest vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
JWI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
DES
2 - 3
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
UCH
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
LAP
2 - 1
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 4
EST
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
4 - 0
QUI
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
QUI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 2
INS
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |