The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JWI
2 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 3
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
STR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
3 - 4
OPE
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 2
OPE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
AUR
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |