The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 0
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |