The Strongest vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
CHA
1 - 2
STR
25%
21%
54%
|
72 | 11 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1965 |
BOC
2 - 0
STR
71%
17%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
STR
2 - 2
QUI
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
STR
2 - 3
BOC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
CHA
0 - 1
NAC
16%
19%
65%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
3 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |