The Strongest vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
STR
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
STR
7 - 2
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MWA
5 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
MWA
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
MWA
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |