The Strongest vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
UCE
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
UCE
0 - 0
STR
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
15%
22%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |