The Strongest vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
STR
4 - 1
RPO
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ROY
5 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
STR
8 - 0
BLO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 1
SAN
67%
22%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |