The Strongest vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ATT
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STR
3 - 0
SBW
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
ATT
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ROY
0 - 2
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -7 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LIB
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |