The Strongest vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
BLO
2 - 1
STR
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
PET
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
STR
4 - 3
LAP
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
STR
4 - 2
NAC
71%
17%
11%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
JWI
1 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
JWI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
JWI
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
JWI
3 - 2
BOL
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
PET
0 - 0
JWI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |