The Strongest vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |