The Strongest vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
AME
6 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
CAL
4 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
OPE
2 - 1
STR
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
DAN
4 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
99%
1%
0%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |