The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
STR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
STR
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
STR
5 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 4
SAC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JWI
0 - 0
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |