The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 2
STR
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
STR
3 - 0
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
STR
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 1
STR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
BLO
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |