The Strongest vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
STR
4 - 0
CIP
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 1
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 1
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
OPE
2 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
24%
23%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |