The Strongest vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
JWI
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 0
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
4 - 1
VEL
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOC
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
ATP
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 2
VEL
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |