The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
STR
7 - 2
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 1
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
STR
7 - 2
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PET
0 - 1
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 2
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
SBW
3 - 2
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 0
BLO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JWI
0 - 0
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 0
RPO
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 4
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |