The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RPO
2 - 2
STR
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
STR
4 - 2
BLO
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
STR
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
STR
7 - 2
AUR
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 3
STR
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 3
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 4
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 3
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 1
JWI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |