The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
MIN
5 - 0
STR
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
STR
1 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
3 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1994 |
MIN
1 - 1
BOL
15%
23%
61%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 1
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
BOL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |