Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-6
The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
STR
5 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1994 |
STR
7 - 1
MIN
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
MIN
5 - 0
STR
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1994 |
BOL
4 - 0
MIN
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1994 |
MIN
1 - 1
BOL
15%
23%
61%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |