The Strongest vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 0
DAN
48%
23%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
AME
6 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
CAL
4 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 0
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOL
94%
4%
2%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOB
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |