The Strongest vs Blooming analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
2º
21
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
20.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
ROY
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 2
DGV
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
3 - 1
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
BLO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLO
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |