The Strongest vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JWI
1 - 1
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
STR
2 - 3
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
STR
0 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
OPE
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
ARS
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARS
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 2
ARS
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
GOD
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |