The New Saints vs Swansea U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
TNS
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
8 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CON
0 - 4
TNS
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAE
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
SWA
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 0
MIL
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
SWA
0 - 0
CAR
32%
22%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
SWA
0 - 0
QPR
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
SWA
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |