The New Saints vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 6
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 6
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 3
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
FLI
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |