The New Saints vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
1º
1º
1º
44
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
SWA
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
TNS
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
8 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
NEW
18%
22%
59%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CON
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 2
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |