The New Saints vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
6º
1º
42
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 3
TNS
5%
11%
84%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
NEW
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 8
TNS
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
NEW
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
6 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +2 |