The New Saints vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 3
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
6 - 0
PEN
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 3
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CON
4 - 0
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
LLA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
GUI
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ABE
3 - 0
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |