The New Saints vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +12 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
AIR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |